– Rasheed Kidwai is a Delhi-based columnist, author of Sonia A Biography and visiting fellow, Observer Research Foundation Perhaps the most significant outcome of General Election 2024 is that Rahul Gandhi can now shed the failure tag. His biggest contribution was that he improved Congress’ national vote share from 19 to 22 percent The General Election 2024 verdict has something for everyone. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi has successfully fashioned a 3.0 government by stitching a coalition NDA alliance with support from the Telugu Desam Party and the Janata Dal (United), Rahul Gandhi, Akhilesh Yadav, Uddhav Thackeray, Mamata Banerjee and Sharad Pawar have also been rewarded for their grit and resilience. Together, they provided strength to the INDIA alliance and gave PM Modi, BJP, NDA and a section of hawkish media shivers down their spines. In fact, the opposition has reasons to reflect upon missed chances to unseat the BJP at the Centre. The BJP too made several tactical errors. The sidelining of regional satraps like Vasundhara Raje Scindia in Rajasthan, and other states proved costly. Also too many last-minute changes in candidates selection and polarising electioneering damaged it. Over-reliance on prime minister Modi in the hustings should bother the BJP for a long time. The party became a victim of its own propaganda believing that the pran pratishta ceremony at the new Ram Temple in Ayodhya, would give them a distinct electoral advantage in Uttar Pradesh, the country’s most populous and politically significant state. It also erroneously assumed that the Mayawati-led BSP would split the INDIA alliance’s Dalit and Muslim votes. Instead, the BJP lost the Faizabad-Ayodhya Lok Sabha seat and a CSDS post poll showed Rahul Gandhi ahead of Modi in Uttar Pradesh as a preferred prime ministerial candidate. Now the Modi-led BJP faces rather bleak prospects in the Haryana, Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Jammu & Kashmir assembly polls scheduled to be held in October. The BJP is hoping for division within the MVA alliance in Maharashtra, but Uddhav Thackeray, Sharad Pawar and the Congress are confident that their seat-sharing formula and assembly election outcome will further rattle BJP. Nevertheless, the Congress and INDIA alliance must also be ruing missed opportunities in General Election 2024, particularly in Andhra Pradesh and Odisha where tacit or tactical alliances were not sealed. In Odisha, Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar then representing the INDIA alliance had paid a visit to Bhubaneswar to request BJD chief Naveen Patnaik to join the alliance but after Kumar defected to BJP/NDA, the negotiations were not followed up with BJD, resulting in the triumph of BJP-NDA. In national coalition politics since the 1980s, Andhra Pradesh and TDP have played a historic and crucial role. In 1984, the TDP was the single largest opposition party in the Lok Sabha. Actor-turned politician and Chandrababu Naidu’s father-in-law N.T. Rama Rao emerged as the convenor of the National Front that enabled Congress rebel Vishwanath Pratap Singh to win the office of prime minister in 1989. The National Front-Left Front government was supported…
Already a subscriber
Click here to
log in and continue reading by entering your registered email address or
subscribe nowJoin with us in our mission to build the pressure of public opinion to make education the #1 item on the national agenda
General Election 2024: Interpreting the verdict
– Rasheed Kidwai is a Delhi-based columnist, author of Sonia A Biography and visiting fellow, Observer Research Foundation Perhaps the most significant outcome of General Election 2024 is that Rahul Gandhi can now shed the failure tag. His biggest contribution was that he improved Congress’ national vote share from 19 to 22 percent The General Election 2024 verdict has something for everyone. While Prime Minister Narendra Modi has successfully fashioned a 3.0 government by stitching a coalition NDA alliance with support from the Telugu Desam Party and the Janata Dal (United), Rahul Gandhi, Akhilesh Yadav, Uddhav Thackeray, Mamata Banerjee and Sharad Pawar have also been rewarded for their grit and resilience. Together, they provided strength to the INDIA alliance and gave PM Modi, BJP, NDA and a section of hawkish media shivers down their spines. In fact, the opposition has reasons to reflect upon missed chances to unseat the BJP at the Centre. The BJP too made several tactical errors. The sidelining of regional satraps like Vasundhara Raje Scindia in Rajasthan, and other states proved costly. Also too many last-minute changes in candidates selection and polarising electioneering damaged it. Over-reliance on prime minister Modi in the hustings should bother the BJP for a long time. The party became a victim of its own propaganda believing that the pran pratishta ceremony at the new Ram Temple in Ayodhya, would give them a distinct electoral advantage in Uttar Pradesh, the country’s most populous and politically significant state. It also erroneously assumed that the Mayawati-led BSP would split the INDIA alliance’s Dalit and Muslim votes. Instead, the BJP lost the Faizabad-Ayodhya Lok Sabha seat and a CSDS post poll showed Rahul Gandhi ahead of Modi in Uttar Pradesh as a preferred prime ministerial candidate. Now the Modi-led BJP faces rather bleak prospects in the Haryana, Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Jammu & Kashmir assembly polls scheduled to be held in October. The BJP is hoping for division within the MVA alliance in Maharashtra, but Uddhav Thackeray, Sharad Pawar and the Congress are confident that their seat-sharing formula and assembly election outcome will further rattle BJP. Nevertheless, the Congress and INDIA alliance must also be ruing missed opportunities in General Election 2024, particularly in Andhra Pradesh and Odisha where tacit or tactical alliances were not sealed. In Odisha, Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar then representing the INDIA alliance had paid a visit to Bhubaneswar to request BJD chief Naveen Patnaik to join the alliance but after Kumar defected to BJP/NDA, the negotiations were not followed up with BJD, resulting in the triumph of BJP-NDA. In national coalition politics since the 1980s, Andhra Pradesh and TDP have played a historic and crucial role. In 1984, the TDP was the single largest opposition party in the Lok Sabha. Actor-turned politician and Chandrababu Naidu’s father-in-law N.T. Rama Rao emerged as the convenor of the National Front that enabled Congress rebel Vishwanath Pratap Singh to win the office of prime minister in 1989. The National Front-Left Front government was supported…